FOREIGN CURRENCY RISKS FOR CORPORATES

Firms generate capital either by issuing equity or by borrowing debt and then they invest the capital to gain ROI. In current economic environment, even if a company is not exposed to foreign currency directly still it may have risks associated with foreign currency.

Various currency risks to a corporate can be broadly categorized as
1. Transaction Risk - Impacts cash flows

This risk arises whenever payable or receivable is in foreign
currency. So risk will arise if company sells on credit or pays with
delay, normally credit period is upto 90 to 180 days. Movement in
exchange risk may result in exchange risk loss or gain for the
company unless the risk is hedged, which comes at its own cost.

2. Translation - No impact on cash flows

This is less obvious as it has indirect impact on the company's
balance sheet and market rating. If company has exposure in foreign
currency by way of receviables, payables, investments or otherwise
then it has to first translate that exposure in domestic currency
before consolidating it in domestic balance sheet. Same amount of
receivables say USD 1000 in year 1 will be transalated to INR 50,000
(@50) and in year 2 it could be INR 45,000 (@45). In this case Asset
reduced by INR 5000 or by 10% YoY due to translation (assuming other
remain constant). Similarly it can also impact Debt to Equity ratio
(A = D+E), which will increase the borrowing costs for the corporate.

3. Economic Risk - Impacts unkown cash flows

Consider company X in country A and company Y in country B. Now
depending on econominc developments in two countries, their exchange
rate compared to another country say C where Customer is located can
change favorable for company X and other way for company Y which
will make X's products competitive and will negatively impact
company Y's sales forecast from the region. This is what US - China
tiff is all about. China's has artifically pegged its exchage rate
to low levels so that its products remain competitive worldwide.
Though artificially depreciating the currency has its own impact on
an economy but that is a different discussion altogether.